Silver Ck near West Campground
USGS 131504301 · Idaho · reports discharge (live), gauge height
USGS 131504301 · Idaho · reports discharge (live), gauge height
What the agencies suggest
Carry a pocket thermometer to monitor water temperatureNational Park Service
General guidance from the readings and the published lines named above, not a fishing forecast. Local rules and closures come first.
Reading Nov 5, 8:30 PM MST · provisional USGS data
Steady · 24 h
Discharge, last 7 days: 169 readings from Oct 29, 9:30 PM MDT to Nov 5, 8:30 PM MST; ranging 97.5 to 113 ft³/s; latest 103 ft³/s.
USGS provisional data may be revised. Source: USGS instantaneous values.
| Time | Discharge (ft³/s) | Gauge height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 8:30 PM MST | 103 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 7:30 PM MST | 103 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 6:30 PM MST | 103 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 5:30 PM MST | 103 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 4:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 3:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 2:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 1:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 12:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 11:30 AM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 10:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 9:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 8:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 7:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 6:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 5:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 4:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 3:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 2:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 1:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 5, 12:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 11:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 10:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 9:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 8:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 7:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 6:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 5:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 4:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 3:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 2:30 PM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 1:30 PM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 12:30 PM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 11:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 10:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 9:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 8:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 7:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 6:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 5:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 4:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 3:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 2:30 AM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 1:30 AM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 4, 12:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 11:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 10:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 9:30 PM MST | 111 | 11 |
| Nov 3, 8:30 PM MST | 112 | 11 |
| Nov 3, 7:30 PM MST | 113 | 11 |
| Nov 3, 6:30 PM MST | 113 | 11 |
| Nov 3, 5:30 PM MST | 113 | 11 |
| Nov 3, 4:30 PM MST | 111 | 11 |
| Nov 3, 3:30 PM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 2:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 1:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 11:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 10:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 9:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 8:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 7:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 6:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 5:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 4:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 3:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 2:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 1:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 11:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 10:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 9:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 8:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 7:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 6:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 5:30 PM MST | 104 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 4:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 3:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 2:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 1:30 PM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 12:30 PM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 11:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 10:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 9:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 8:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 7:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 6:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 5:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 4:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 3:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 2:30 AM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 1:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 2, 12:30 AM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 10:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 9:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 6:30 PM MST | 111 | 11 |
| Nov 1, 5:30 PM MST | 111 | 11 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 PM MST | 111 | 11 |
| Nov 1, 3:30 PM MST | 111 | 11 |
| Nov 1, 2:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 PM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 AM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM MST | 110 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 9:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM MST | 109 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 6:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:30 AM MST | 108 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 3:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 2:30 AM MST | 105 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 AM MST | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 AM MDT | 106 | 10.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 AM MDT | 106 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 PM MDT | 105 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 PM MDT | 105 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM MDT | 104 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM MDT | 103 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:30 AM MDT | 103 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM MDT | 103 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM MDT | 103 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM MDT | 103 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM MDT | 102 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 AM MDT | 102 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 AM MDT | 102 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 AM MDT | 101 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM MDT | 101 | 10.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM MDT | 101 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM MDT | 102 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM MDT | 102 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM MDT | 101 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 6:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 PM MDT | 99.7 | 10.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 AM MDT | 98.6 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 AM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 AM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 AM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 AM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
| Oct 29, 11:30 PM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 PM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM MDT | 97.5 | 10.8 |
Water temperature from USGS 13150430 (SILVER CREEK AT SPORTSMAN ACCESS NR PICABO ID), on the same river 0.15 miles away: this gauge does not measure it. Reading Nov 5, 7:45 PM MST.
Water temperature, last 7 days: 169 readings from Oct 29, 9:15 PM MDT to Nov 5, 7:45 PM MST; ranging 43.5 to 49.5 °F; latest 44.8 °F.
USGS provisional data may be revised. Source: USGS instantaneous values.
| Time | Water temperature (°F) |
|---|---|
| Nov 5, 7:45 PM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 5, 6:45 PM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 5, 5:45 PM MST | 45.7 |
| Nov 5, 4:45 PM MST | 46.2 |
| Nov 5, 3:45 PM MST | 46.4 |
| Nov 5, 2:45 PM MST | 46.2 |
| Nov 5, 1:45 PM MST | 46 |
| Nov 5, 12:45 PM MST | 45.9 |
| Nov 5, 11:45 AM MST | 45.3 |
| Nov 5, 10:45 AM MST | 44.4 |
| Nov 5, 9:45 AM MST | 44.1 |
| Nov 5, 8:45 AM MST | 44.1 |
| Nov 5, 7:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 5, 6:45 AM MST | 44.4 |
| Nov 5, 5:45 AM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 5, 4:45 AM MST | 45 |
| Nov 5, 3:45 AM MST | 45 |
| Nov 5, 2:45 AM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 5, 1:45 AM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 5, 12:45 AM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 4, 11:45 PM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 4, 10:45 PM MST | 45.3 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM MST | 45.5 |
| Nov 4, 8:45 PM MST | 46 |
| Nov 4, 7:45 PM MST | 46.6 |
| Nov 4, 6:45 PM MST | 46.9 |
| Nov 4, 5:45 PM MST | 47.3 |
| Nov 4, 4:45 PM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 4, 3:45 PM MST | 48 |
| Nov 4, 2:45 PM MST | 47.7 |
| Nov 4, 1:45 PM MST | 46.9 |
| Nov 4, 12:45 PM MST | 46.2 |
| Nov 4, 11:45 AM MST | 45.5 |
| Nov 4, 10:45 AM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 AM MST | 44.4 |
| Nov 4, 8:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 4, 7:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 4, 6:45 AM MST | 44.4 |
| Nov 4, 5:45 AM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 4, 4:45 AM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 4, 3:45 AM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 4, 2:45 AM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 4, 1:45 AM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 4, 12:45 AM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 3, 11:45 PM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 3, 10:45 PM MST | 44.4 |
| Nov 3, 9:45 PM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 3, 8:45 PM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 3, 7:45 PM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 3, 6:45 PM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 3, 5:45 PM MST | 45.5 |
| Nov 3, 4:45 PM MST | 46 |
| Nov 3, 3:45 PM MST | 46.4 |
| Nov 3, 2:45 PM MST | 46.2 |
| Nov 3, 1:45 PM MST | 46 |
| Nov 3, 12:45 PM MST | 45.7 |
| Nov 3, 11:45 AM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 3, 10:45 AM MST | 44.1 |
| Nov 3, 9:45 AM MST | 43.7 |
| Nov 3, 8:45 AM MST | 43.5 |
| Nov 3, 7:45 AM MST | 43.5 |
| Nov 3, 6:45 AM MST | 43.7 |
| Nov 3, 5:45 AM MST | 44.1 |
| Nov 3, 4:45 AM MST | 44.1 |
| Nov 3, 3:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 3, 2:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 3, 1:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 3, 12:45 AM MST | 44.2 |
| Nov 2, 11:45 PM MST | 44.4 |
| Nov 2, 10:45 PM MST | 44.6 |
| Nov 2, 9:45 PM MST | 44.8 |
| Nov 2, 8:45 PM MST | 45.1 |
| Nov 2, 7:45 PM MST | 45.7 |
| Nov 2, 6:45 PM MST | 46 |
| Nov 2, 5:45 PM MST | 46.4 |
| Nov 2, 4:45 PM MST | 46.9 |
| Nov 2, 3:45 PM MST | 47.5 |
| Nov 2, 2:45 PM MST | 47.3 |
| Nov 2, 1:45 PM MST | 47.1 |
| Nov 2, 12:45 PM MST | 47.1 |
| Nov 2, 11:45 AM MST | 47.1 |
| Nov 2, 10:45 AM MST | 47.1 |
| Nov 2, 9:45 AM MST | 47.1 |
| Nov 2, 8:45 AM MST | 47.1 |
| Nov 2, 7:45 AM MST | 47.3 |
| Nov 2, 6:45 AM MST | 47.5 |
| Nov 2, 5:45 AM MST | 47.7 |
| Nov 2, 4:45 AM MST | 47.7 |
| Nov 2, 3:45 AM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 2, 2:45 AM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 2, 1:45 AM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 2, 12:45 AM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 1, 11:45 PM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM MST | 47.8 |
| Nov 1, 9:45 PM MST | 48 |
| Nov 1, 8:45 PM MST | 48.4 |
| Nov 1, 7:45 PM MST | 48.7 |
| Nov 1, 6:45 PM MST | 48.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:45 PM MST | 49.3 |
| Nov 1, 4:45 PM MST | 49.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:45 PM MST | 49.5 |
| Nov 1, 2:45 PM MST | 49.5 |
| Nov 1, 1:45 PM MST | 49.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:45 PM MST | 49.1 |
| Nov 1, 11:45 AM MST | 48.7 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 AM MST | 48.6 |
| Nov 1, 9:45 AM MST | 48.4 |
| Nov 1, 8:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 7:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 6:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 5:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 4:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 2:45 AM MST | 48.2 |
| Nov 1, 1:45 AM MST | 48 |
| Nov 1, 1:45 AM MDT | 47.8 |
| Nov 1, 12:45 AM MDT | 47.8 |
| Oct 31, 11:45 PM MDT | 47.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:45 PM MDT | 47.8 |
| Oct 31, 9:45 PM MDT | 48 |
| Oct 31, 8:45 PM MDT | 48.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:45 PM MDT | 48.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:45 PM MDT | 48.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:45 PM MDT | 48.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:45 PM MDT | 48.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:45 PM MDT | 48.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:45 PM MDT | 48 |
| Oct 31, 1:45 PM MDT | 47.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:45 PM MDT | 47.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:45 AM MDT | 46.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:45 AM MDT | 46.8 |
| Oct 31, 9:45 AM MDT | 46.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:45 AM MDT | 46.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:45 AM MDT | 46.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:45 AM MDT | 46.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:45 AM MDT | 46.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:45 AM MDT | 46.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:45 AM MDT | 46 |
| Oct 31, 2:45 AM MDT | 45.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:45 AM MDT | 45.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:45 AM MDT | 45.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:45 PM MDT | 45.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:45 PM MDT | 45.7 |
| Oct 30, 9:45 PM MDT | 45.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:45 PM MDT | 46 |
| Oct 30, 7:45 PM MDT | 46 |
| Oct 30, 6:45 PM MDT | 46 |
| Oct 30, 5:45 PM MDT | 46.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:45 PM MDT | 46.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:45 PM MDT | 46.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:45 PM MDT | 45.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:45 PM MDT | 45.3 |
| Oct 30, 12:45 PM MDT | 45 |
| Oct 30, 11:45 AM MDT | 45 |
| Oct 30, 10:45 AM MDT | 44.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:45 AM MDT | 44.6 |
| Oct 30, 8:45 AM MDT | 44.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:45 AM MDT | 44.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:45 AM MDT | 44.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:45 AM MDT | 44.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:45 AM MDT | 44.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:45 AM MDT | 43.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:45 AM MDT | 43.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:45 AM MDT | 43.7 |
| Oct 30, 12:45 AM MDT | 43.7 |
| Oct 29, 11:45 PM MDT | 43.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:45 PM MDT | 43.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:45 PM MDT | 44.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:15 PM MDT | 44.4 |
Map of USGS gauge 131504301 and the river around it
Where Silver Ck near West Campground sits, with 1 other gauge on the same river and our water's map point.
From USGS 13150430 (SILVER CREEK AT SPORTSMAN ACCESS NR PICABO ID), on the same river 0.15 miles away; this gauge does not measure water temperature.
Under 66°F. Water 44.8°F now; the highest in the last 24 hours was 46.6°F. In the study Idaho Fish and Game cites, trout landed in water under 66°F survived best: mortality “was 69% higher for trout landed at 73°F water temperatures than for those landed when waters were less than 66°F.” In summer, “early-mornings are typically best while the water is still cool.”
USGS publishes no daily statistics for this gauge, so the reading is not compared with the record.
Steady over 24 hours (−1% discharge). Rising or falling means a change of more than 10% in discharge (or 0.2 ft of gauge height) over 24 hours; our rule of thumb, not a USGS class.
Species the agency lists for Silver Creek: Brown Trout, Brook Trout, Rainbow Trout.
From our page for Silver Creek, on the same river as this gauge; the agency list is for the water, not this exact reach. Source: Silver Creek | Idaho Fishing Planner (Idaho Department of Fish and Game).
Cold water. Water 44.8°F. NWS: “Cold shock can be just as severe and dangerous from water temperatures of 50-60°F (10-15°C) as it is from water at 35°F (2°C).” “Always wear a life jacket in and around the water.”
Cold Water Hazards and Safety (National Weather Service)Turn Around Don't Drown. “A mere 6 inches of fast-moving flood water can knock over an adult.” No flow number makes a crossing safe; if in doubt, stay out.
Turn Around Don't Drown (National Weather Service)Guidance from the readings above and the published thresholds named with each line; not a fishing forecast, a safety guarantee or a statement about access. Local rules and closures come first.
The National Weather Service has no flood-stage gauge here, so no official flood category is shown.
Checked Nov 5, 9:00 PM MST; readings refresh at most every 15 minutes and statistics daily. Provisional USGS data can be revised. Conditions change: re-check before you go. This is general guidance, not a fishing forecast, a safety guarantee or a statement about access.